Are We In A El Nino Or La Nina Year 2024. La niña is expected to persist through the winter months. Noaa projects an 85 percent chance that the enso cycle will shift to its neutral phase between april and june 2024, and then a 60 percent chance a la niña will develop between june and august.
El niño tends to create hostile upper level winds that rip storms apart while la niña does the opposite. The chances of la niña conditions increase to 53% during.